🔍 Premier League Gameweek 16 — Full Review & Prediction Scorecard
-- Author Martin -- Date 12/12/2025 Gameweek 15 underlined the importance of efficiency over volume, especially away from home. The process remains strong, and weeks like this provide valuable lessons heading into the next round.On to Gameweek 16.
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🔮 Premier League Gameweek 16 — Data-Driven Preview & Predictions
This preview uses trends built up over the first 15 gameweeks: home vs away splits, recent form, attacking and defensive efficiency, and historical matchup patterns. The aim isn’t to predict the unpredictable — it’s to make reasonable calls backed by numbers.
Below is a full breakdown of each fixture, why the prediction lands where it does, and the projected scoreline.
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🔵 Chelsea vs Everton
Kick-off: 13/12/2025Chelsea sit 5th with a strong goal difference, but their recent performances have been uneven. They create chances consistently but have dropped points against organised sides. Everton, meanwhile, are quietly solid — 7th place, positive goal difference, and difficult to break down.
Everton’s away approach is conservative, and Chelsea’s home attack hasn’t always converted volume into goals. This points toward a tight, low-margin game.
Prediction: Chelsea 1–1 Everton
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🔴 Liverpool vs Brighton
Kick-off: 13/12/2025Liverpool remain unpredictable: plenty of goals scored, but defensive lapses keep appearing — especially in open games. Brighton are a classic "process over results" team: high shot volume, strong possession metrics, but mixed outcomes.
At Anfield, Liverpool’s attacking ceiling is still higher. Brighton will create chances, but Liverpool’s finishing edge at home should tell.
Prediction: Liverpool 2–1 Brighton
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🔴 Burnley vs Fulham
Kick-off: 13/12/2025Burnley are rooted near the bottom with one of the league’s weakest defences. They concede heavily and struggle to control matches. Fulham haven’t been spectacular, but they’re far more stable and tend to take advantage against weaker opposition.
Fulham’s away performances suggest they can manage this game without needing to dominate possession.
Prediction: Burnley 1–2 Fulham
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🔴 Arsenal vs Wolves
Kick-off: 13/12/2025Arsenal top the league and boast elite defensive numbers. Wolves, meanwhile, sit bottom with the lowest points tally and the worst goal difference. They struggle badly for goals and are often overwhelmed by high-quality sides.
This has all the makings of a one-sided contest.
Prediction: Arsenal 3–0 Wolves
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🦅 Crystal Palace vs Man City
Kick-off: 14/12/2025This is one of the most interesting fixtures of the round. Palace are 4th and extremely efficient, particularly at home, while City are 2nd and relentless in chance creation.
City’s away performances remain strong, but Palace’s compact shape and counter-attacking threat could keep this closer than many expect.
Prediction: Crystal Palace 1–2 Man City
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🌲 Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham
Kick-off: 14/12/2025Forest are struggling near the bottom, with defensive issues and limited attacking output. Tottenham sit mid-table but remain dangerous, especially against teams that leave space.
Spurs’ inconsistency prevents a blowout call, but their attacking numbers still point toward an away win.
Prediction: Nottingham Forest 1–2 Tottenham
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🔴 Sunderland vs Newcastle
Kick-off: 14/12/2025Sunderland have been one of the more balanced sides this season, sitting comfortably in the top half. Newcastle are close behind but less reliable away from home.
This feels like a derby-style game where intensity outweighs polish. Sunderland’s home edge gives them a slight advantage.
Prediction: Sunderland 2–1 Newcastle
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⚒️ West Ham vs Aston Villa
Kick-off: 14/12/2025Villa are firmly in the title conversation and remain excellent away from home. West Ham, on the other hand, are leaking goals and struggling to control matches.
Villa’s attacking efficiency and defensive stability point clearly toward the visitors.
Prediction: West Ham 1–3 Aston Villa
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🐝 Brentford vs Leeds
Kick-off: 14/12/2025Both sides are volatile and high-energy. Leeds games tend to be open, with goals at both ends. Brentford at home are aggressive but often exposed defensively.
Everything points toward a high-scoring draw.
Prediction: Brentford 2–2 Leeds
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🔴 Man United vs Bournemouth
Kick-off: 15/12/2025United’s home form has been improving, and their attacking numbers are trending upward. Bournemouth are competitive but struggle against teams that press high and sustain pressure.
Old Trafford should provide enough of an edge.
Prediction: Man United 2–0 Bournemouth
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📋 Gameweek 16 Predicted Scorelines (Summary)
- Chelsea 1–1 Everton - Liverpool 2–1 Brighton - Burnley 1–2 Fulham - Arsenal 3–0 Wolves - Crystal Palace 1–2 Man City - Nottingham Forest 1–2 Tottenham - Sunderland 2–1 Newcastle - West Ham 1–3 Aston Villa - Brentford 2–2 Leeds - Man United 2–0 Bournemouth
This set of predictions leans into table position, efficiency metrics, and home/away trends rather than short-term noise. As always, the numbers give us a framework — the football will decide the rest.